The highly anticipated Japan Cup is set to run its 44th edition this Sunday, Nov. 24, at Tokyo Racecourse. The Grade 1 event, contested over 2,400 meters on turf, has drawn a competitive field of 14. As one of Japan’s most prestigious races, it boasts a rich history of showcasing global talent, though local runners have dominated for the past 18 years.
This year, however, three international contenders have entered, each eligible for lucrative incentive bonuses that could add up to $3 million on top of the ¥500 million (approximately $3.5 million) first-place prize. Leading the international charge are Auguste Rodin from Ireland, Goliath representing France, and Germany's Fantastic Moon, all looking to dethrone Japan’s best and take home a massive payday.
Top Contenders
Do Deuce
A multiple G1 winner, Do Deuce heads into the Japan Cup in fine form following a thrilling victory in last month’s Tenno Sho (Autumn). The 5-year-old’s turn of foot in the final stretch was unmatched, clocking the fastest 3-furlong split of 32.5 seconds. With jockey Yutaka Take back in the saddle, Do Deuce seeks redemption after finishing fourth in last year’s Japan Cup. Trainer Yasuo Tomomichi, who has one Japan Cup victory, will aim to guide his star to another triumph at Tokyo.
Cervinia
This year’s standout 3-year-old filly, Cervinia, enters after capturing the Shuka Sho and Japanese Oaks. While she has yet to face older male competition, her speed and weight allowance (4 kg lighter than top-weighted runners) make her a strong contender. Christophe Lemaire, a four-time Japan Cup-winning jockey, adds another edge to her chances. A win would cement her place among Japan’s greatest fillies, alongside legends like Gentildonna and Almond Eye.
Auguste Rodin
Irish raider Auguste Rodin brings international flair as the first foreign-based progeny of Deep Impact to compete in Japan. Aidan O’Brien’s star has a decorated record, with six G1 wins, including the Epsom Derby and Prince of Wales’s Stakes. While he missed narrowly in the Irish Champion Stakes last out, O’Brien expects Tokyo’s firm ground to suit him. Ryan Moore, a two-time Japan Cup-winning jockey, will guide the colt in his bid to break Japan’s 18-year streak of victories.
Justin Palace
A consistent performer, Justin Palace has a proven track record at G1 level, including victory in last year’s Tenno Sho (Spring). While he has struggled to secure additional wins, his late speed and proven ability over fast ground make him a dark horse. The son of Deep Impact will aim to give trainer Yoshito Yahagi another Japan Cup win.
Goliath
French-based gelding Goliath arrives with stellar credentials, having claimed the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot in July. Despite missing the Arc due to ineligibility as a gelding, he tuned up with an easy Group 2 win in France last month. A win would make him only the second France-based horse to take the Japan Cup, following Le Glorieux in 1987.
Stars on Earth
A 2022 dual G1 winner, Stars on Earth returns for her second Japan Cup after finishing third last year behind Equinox. Although this year has been challenging, including a disappointing run in Dubai, she remains a serious contender. Yuga Kawada, Japan’s leading jockey, will pilot the talented mare.
Others to Watch
Blow the Horn: Struggled in his last race but remains a proven G1 performer.
Shin Emperor: A promising 3-year-old looking to rebound from a subpar Arc run.
Durezza: Has shown potential but needs a strong performance to re-establish his form.
With a mix of local stars and global challengers, the 2024 Japan Cup promises high stakes and thrilling competition.
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